報告書番号

582015

タイトル（和文）

計量経済モデルによる発電所立地の地域経済への影響分析

タイトル（英文）

AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF AN ELECTRIC POWER PLANT

概要 （図表や脚注は「報告書全文」に掲載しております）

この研究は，発電所立地が地元に及ぼす影響のうち，社会経済影響を把握するため計量経済学的分析を行ったものである。現実に発電所立地が行われた地点を対象に計量経済モデルを作成し，地元の生産活動や就業構造，財政等への影響を定量的に把握した。次に発電所立地が行われなかったと想定しシミュレ－ション分析を行い，現実に発電所があった場合との差をもって立地の社会経済影響とした。その結果によれば，財政収入に対する影響が最も大きく，次いで生産所得，就業者数，人口という順で大きい。

概要 （英文）

THE CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF AN ELECTRIC POWERPLANT CREATES VARIOUS IMPACTS UPON THE LOCAL COMMUNITY IN WHICH IT IS CONSTRUCTED.IT IS IMPORTANT TO FORECAST THESE IMPACTS FOR THE COMMUNTIES ACCEPTANCE OF THE PROJECTED POWERPLANT.A METHOD OF ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO FORECAST THESE,HOWEVER THE IMPACTS RELATING TO SOCIO-ECONOMIC PROBLEMS,SUCH AS PRODUCTION,EMPLOYMENT,POPULATION,PUBLIC COMMUNITY FUNDING,CANNOT BE FULLY ANLAYZED QUANTITATIVELY. THE DISCUSSION ON THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACTS TENDS TO BE OF A RATHER SUPERFICIAL NATURE. THE PURPOSE OF THIS STUDY IS TO BUILD AN ECONOMETRIC MODEL OF THE COMMUNITY NEIGHBORING THE POWERPLANT AND TO ANALYZE SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF THE CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF THE POWERPLANT.WEPERFORMED TWO TYPES OF SIMULATION ANALYSIS,A NON CONSTRUCTION CASE ANDA CASE IN WHICH THE CONSTRUCTION IS MADE ONE AND HALF TIMES THE PROJECTED SIZE. THE MAIN RESULTS OF THE SIMULATION ANALYSIS ARE SUMMARIZED BELOW. (1)THE IMPACT ON THE PRODUCTION ACTIVITIES IS HUGE. THE RATE OF PRODUCTION OF LOCAL INDUSTRIES,WITH THE EXCEPTION OFELECTRIC UTILITIES ISTRIPLE THAT OF THE NON-CONSTRUCTION CASE. (2)THE INCREASE OF THE POPULATION IS RATHER MODERATE COMPARED TO THE INCREASE OF EMPLOYMENT. (3)LOCAL PUBLIC FINANCE IS IMPROVED BY THE PROPERTY TAX ON ELECTRIC POWER FACILITIES AND ALSO BY THE SUBSIDIES FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF THE REGION WHERE THEELECTRICITY IS TO BE GENERATED.

報告者

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