報告書番号

585003

タイトル（和文）

地域経済データの開発その１製造業資本ストック・社会資本ストックの推計

タイトル（英文）

ESTIMATION OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC DATA:PART 1 CAPITAL STOCK OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES AND SOCIAL OVERHEAD CAPITAL

概要 （図表や脚注は「報告書全文」に掲載しております）

当所では，地域経済モデルの開発を行っている。しかし，利用可能な地域経済データは少なく，地域経済の実態把握やモデル開発を行う上で障害となっている。そのため，５９年度より地域経済データの開発を始めた。本報告書では，製造業資本ストックと社会資本ストックの推計手順と推計結果を示す。なお推計手順は以下のとおりである。製造業資本ストックは９地域別，ＳＮＡ１３産業別に推計した。４５年国富調査をもとにベンチマークを決め，工業統計表の有形固定資産額をもとに投資額を推計し，除却額はマクロ情報をもとに推計した。社会資本ストックは都道府県別，４目的別に推計した。推計法はベンチマークイヤー法と改良パーペチュアル法を折衷したものである。

概要 （英文）

REGIONAL ECONOMIC DATA ARE RELATIVELY WELL PREPARED IN JAPAN COMPARED TO THE OTHER COUNTRIES. WE HAVE THE PREFECTURAL ECONOMIC ACCOUNTS. HOWEVER, THESE ACCOUNTS MAINLY CONTAIN THE FLOW DATA,SUCH AS GROSS PREFECTURAL PRODUCT, EXPENDITURE, DISPOSABLE INCOME AND SO ON. THE STOCK DATA, SUCH AS CAPITAL STOCK OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE AND SOCIAL OVERHEAD CAPITAL, IS NOT PUBLICLY AVAILABLE. THE LACK OF THE STOCK DATA HAS BEEN RESTRICTING QUANTITATIVE REGIONAL ECONMIC ANALYSIS.THE MAIN PURPOSE OF REPORT IS TO PRESENT A METHOD OF ESTIMATING CAPITAL STOCK OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES AND SOCIAL OVERHEAD CAPITAL. THE MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY IS DEVIDED INTO 13 SUB-INDUSTRIES. THE REGIONAL MANUFACTURING CAPITAL STOCK IS ESTIMATED, ADDED TOGETHER AND IS THEN COMPARED WITH THE MACRO MANUFACTURING CAPITAL STOCK OF THE ECONOMIC PLANNING AGENCY. OF COURSE, THESE FIGURES MUST AGREE. THUS, THE EPA S MACROCAPITAL STOCK OF EACH INDUSTRY PLAYS A ROLE OF THE CONTROL TOTAL OF REGIONAL CAPITAL STOCK. TO ESTIMATE THEM, WE UTILIZE THREE BASIC SOURCES OF INFORMATION DERIVED FROM THE CENSUS OF MANUFACTURING, THE SYSTEM OF PREFECTURAL ACCOUNTS, AND THE 1970 NATIONAL WEALTH SURVEY OF JAPAN. THE SOCIAL OVERHEAD CAPITAL FOR EACH PREFECTURE IS ESTIMATED FOR FOUR CATEGORIES; THE AGRICUTURE-FORESTRY-FISHERING INDUSTRY RELATED, THE INDUSTRY RELATED, TRANSPORTATION AND COMMIUNICATION RELATED, AND WELFARE RELATED. THE METHOD OF ESTIMATION IS A MIXTURE OF THE BENCH MARK YEAR METHOD ANDTHE PERPETUAL INVENTRY METHOD. TO ESTIMATE THEM, WE UTILIZE FOUR BASICSOURCES OF INFORMATION DERIVED FROM THE SYSTEM OF PREFECTURAL ACCOUNTS, THE PUBLIC CONSTRUCTION STATISTICS, THE ROAD STATISTICS AND THE 1970 NATIONAL WEALTH SURVEY OF JAPAN. THE ESTIMATED FIGURES ARE BRIEFLY DISCUSSED IN THIS REPORT, TOO.

報告者

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